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Red54
477415.6
533323.0
173918.0
Blue52
589318.1
557321.1
472921.5
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions574802040801001205452

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.00.5
19.118.6
Auto7.6
Teleop11.5
End4.0
red by 1.5
21.50.5
18.218.6
Auto3.6
Teleop15.5
End2.5
Second
1739
#25
18.00.5
15.114.6
Auto7.8
Teleop7.3
End2.9
blue by 3.1
5573
#13
21.10.5
16.116.5
Auto5.5
Teleop11.4
End4.3
Third
4774
#28
15.60.5
19.619.0
Auto3.8
Teleop10.5
End1.3
blue by 2.5
5893
#36
18.10.5
13.714.1
Auto6.3
Teleop9.3
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
24%Breach oddsMissed47%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed