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Red50
556419.4
601820.4
564812.3
Blue94
461332.8
559327.5
618718.6
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4565020801001205094

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6018
#17
20.40.4
16.717.1
Auto5.3
Teleop11.2
End3.9
blue by 12.4
32.82.7
28.330.9
Auto12.2
Teleop15.7
End4.9
Second
5564
#29
19.40.4
16.617.0
Auto3.6
Teleop11.0
End4.8
blue by 8.1
5593
#12
27.52.7
17.820.4
Auto8.6
Teleop12.4
End6.4
Third
5648
#38
12.30.4
13.313.7
Auto3.5
Teleop6.5
End2.3
blue by 6.3
18.62.7
14.016.7
Auto6.2
Teleop10.3
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
35%Breach oddsMissed42%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed