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Red42
560614.9
480215.7
558420.0
Blue65
608317.2
473913.7
533125.6
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5946020801001204265

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5584
#24
20.01.5
22.921.4
Auto5.8
Teleop12.0
End2.3
blue by 5.5
25.61.5
18.720.2
Auto6.4
Teleop13.8
End5.4
Second
4802
#39
15.71.5
14.913.4
Auto7.7
Teleop5.9
End2.1
blue by 1.5
6083
#30
17.21.5
11.012.5
Auto4.3
Teleop9.7
End3.2
Third
5606
#33
14.91.5
17.315.9
Auto5.0
Teleop8.2
End1.7
red by 1.2
4739
#18
13.71.5
16.618.1
Auto1.4
Teleop9.4
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
41%Breach oddsMissed33%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed