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Red34
601820.4
478813.6
477415.6
Blue37
508719.5
606314.9
481718.4
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions514602060801001201401603437

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6018
#17
20.41.7
17.115.4
Auto5.3
Teleop11.2
End3.9
red by 0.9
5087
#23
19.51.0
18.217.2
Auto7.7
Teleop8.0
End3.8
Second
4774
#28
15.61.7
19.017.4
Auto3.8
Teleop10.5
End1.3
blue by 2.8
4817
#21
18.41.0
16.115.1
Auto4.8
Teleop8.8
End4.8
Third
4788
#40
13.61.7
12.911.2
Auto2.1
Teleop8.3
End3.2
blue by 1.4
6063
#27
14.91.0
11.510.5
Auto5.8
Teleop7.8
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
18%Breach oddsMissed23%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed