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Red67
606222.1
533125.6
600717.4
Blue77
620417.3
603522.6
477415.6
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions535430405060706777

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.61.7
20.221.9
Auto6.4
Teleop13.8
End5.4
red by 2.9
6035
#15
22.61.1
20.121.3
Auto7.9
Teleop11.4
End3.4
Second
6062
#19
22.11.7
17.719.4
Auto4.6
Teleop13.4
End4.0
red by 4.8
6204
#20
17.31.1
14.315.4
Auto5.4
Teleop8.3
End3.6
Third
6007
#41
17.41.7
14.115.7
Auto7.8
Teleop7.5
End2.1
red by 1.8
4774
#28
15.61.1
17.418.5
Auto3.8
Teleop10.5
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
25%Breach oddsEarned13%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed