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Red86
598817.9
557321.1
313231.8
Blue68
478813.6
556419.4
602425.3
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions69470204060801001201408668

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.81.2
30.731.9
Auto7.4
Teleop19.7
End4.6
red by 6.5
6024
#10
25.32.2
18.620.8
Auto7.7
Teleop11.9
End5.6
Second
5573
#13
21.11.9
16.618.6
Auto5.5
Teleop11.4
End4.3
red by 1.8
5564
#29
19.42.2
18.720.9
Auto3.6
Teleop11.0
End4.8
Third
5988
#26
17.91.9
16.318.2
Auto5.8
Teleop8.0
End4.1
red by 4.4
4788
#40
13.62.2
11.213.4
Auto2.1
Teleop8.3
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
64%Breach oddsEarned43%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed