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Qual 472016 Australia Regional
Red60
473913.7
477415.6
461332.8
Blue55
598527.0
606222.1
621214.2
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7654020401001201401606055

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4613
#2
32.82.2
35.2→32.9
Auto12.2
Teleop15.7
End4.9
red by 5.9
5985
#3
27.00.0
22.8→22.8
Auto8.6
Teleop14.8
End3.5
Second
4774
#28
15.62.2
18.5→16.2
Auto3.8
Teleop10.5
End1.3
blue by 6.4
6062
#19
22.10.0
19.4→19.3
Auto4.6
Teleop13.4
End4.0
Third
4739
#18
13.72.2
16.6→14.3
Auto1.4
Teleop9.4
End3.0
blue by 0.5
6212
#32
14.20.0
13.2→13.1
Auto4.9
Teleop6.2
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
60%Breach oddsEarned67%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed