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Red59
603522.6
598817.9
478813.6
Blue62
598317.6
618718.6
477415.6
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions55500204060801005962

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6035
#15
22.60.6
22.823.4
Auto7.9
Teleop11.4
End3.4
red by 4.1
18.60.2
18.618.4
Auto6.2
Teleop10.3
End2.0
Second
5988
#26
17.90.6
17.017.6
Auto5.8
Teleop8.0
End4.1
red by 0.3
5983
#31
17.60.2
16.115.9
Auto7.7
Teleop8.2
End1.7
Third
4788
#40
13.60.6
13.013.6
Auto2.1
Teleop8.3
End3.2
blue by 2.1
4774
#28
15.60.2
14.714.4
Auto3.8
Teleop10.5
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
22%Breach oddsEarned40%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed