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Red52
533323.0
564812.3
481718.4
Blue65
598317.6
480119.0
621214.2
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions54450204060801005265

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.00.1
20.620.7
Auto7.6
Teleop11.5
End4.0
red by 4.0
4801
#22
19.01.7
17.319.0
Auto4.4
Teleop10.9
End3.7
Second
4817
#21
18.40.1
18.418.4
Auto4.8
Teleop8.8
End4.8
red by 0.8
5983
#31
17.61.7
15.917.6
Auto7.7
Teleop8.2
End1.7
Third
5648
#38
12.30.1
12.212.3
Auto3.5
Teleop6.5
End2.3
blue by 1.9
6212
#32
14.21.9
12.314.2
Auto4.9
Teleop6.2
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
31%Breach oddsMissed37%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed