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Red73
325034.0
101132.7
99117.3
Blue97
414624.4
116526.2
240325.5
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1048640601201401601807397

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3250
#13
34.00.5
35.034.5
Auto6.3
Teleop23.8
End3.8
red by 7.8
26.20.0
26.026.1
Auto8.2
Teleop11.4
End6.5
Second
32.70.5
33.733.2
Auto9.2
Teleop17.3
End6.2
red by 7.2
2403
#15
25.50.0
25.425.4
Auto9.3
Teleop12.6
End3.6
Third
991
#46
17.30.6
18.517.9
Auto4.5
Teleop10.8
End2.1
blue by 7.1
4146
#25
24.40.0
24.324.3
Auto8.2
Teleop10.6
End5.7