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Red67
325034.0
101132.7
99117.3
Blue114
414624.4
116526.2
240325.5
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1028605015020067114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3250
#13
34.00.5
34.534.0
Auto6.3
Teleop23.8
End3.8
red by 7.8
26.20.4
26.126.4
Auto8.2
Teleop11.4
End6.5
Second
32.70.5
33.232.7
Auto9.2
Teleop17.3
End6.2
red by 7.2
2403
#15
25.50.4
25.425.8
Auto9.3
Teleop12.6
End3.6
Third
991
#46
17.30.5
17.917.3
Auto4.5
Teleop10.8
End2.1
blue by 7.1
4146
#25
24.40.4
24.324.6
Auto8.2
Teleop10.6
End5.7