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Red70
49830.5
577114.9
264723.9
Blue62
116526.2
325624.1
359830.6
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5268204060801007062

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
498
#14
30.51.8
20.922.8
Auto11.1
Teleop13.1
End6.3
blue by 0.2
3598
#22
30.60.2
19.519.2
Auto8.4
Teleop17.4
End4.9
Second
2647
#43
23.91.8
14.115.9
Auto8.4
Teleop12.0
End3.4
blue by 2.3
26.20.2
23.623.4
Auto8.2
Teleop11.4
End6.5
Third
5771
#51
14.91.8
18.520.4
Auto4.7
Teleop8.7
End1.4
blue by 9.2
3256
#42
24.10.2
20.820.6
Auto5.0
Teleop14.4
End4.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
40%Breach oddsEarned52%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed