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Red74
69820.7
299632.1
347018.4
Blue62
561324.1
264723.9
133926.8
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions69622040801001207462

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2996
#24
32.10.3
28.328.1
Auto7.2
Teleop20.7
End4.1
red by 5.2
1339
#27
26.80.1
20.520.6
Auto7.4
Teleop14.4
End5.1
Second
698
#23
20.70.3
21.821.5
Auto6.5
Teleop11.4
End2.9
blue by 3.4
5613
#30
24.10.1
24.224.3
Auto7.8
Teleop12.5
End3.9
Third
3470
#38
18.40.3
16.216.0
Auto5.3
Teleop10.6
End2.4
blue by 5.5
2647
#43
23.90.1
16.716.8
Auto8.4
Teleop12.0
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
66%Breach oddsMissed36%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed