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Red64
415327.1
612719.1
182820.1
Blue88
622125.6
318722.6
299632.1
13%Model gave it87%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4871204060801006488

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4153
#16
27.11.6
20.722.3
Auto8.1
Teleop14.4
End4.6
blue by 5.0
2996
#24
32.11.4
28.129.4
Auto7.2
Teleop20.7
End4.1
Second
1828
#36
20.11.6
15.517.0
Auto6.4
Teleop11.0
End2.7
blue by 5.5
6221
#10
25.61.4
19.120.5
Auto7.6
Teleop13.2
End4.8
Third
6127
#40
19.11.6
13.615.2
Auto4.8
Teleop12.1
End2.2
blue by 3.5
3187
#33
22.61.4
18.419.8
Auto6.6
Teleop12.4
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
25%Breach oddsEarned58%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed