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Red70
49830.5
69820.7
498523.9
Blue93
299632.1
182820.1
449930.9
25%Model gave it75%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions65812040601001207093

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
498
#14
30.50.5
25.025.5
Auto11.1
Teleop13.1
End6.3
blue by 1.6
2996
#24
32.11.3
29.430.7
Auto7.2
Teleop20.7
End4.1
Second
4985
#37
23.90.5
19.019.5
Auto6.3
Teleop12.8
End4.8
blue by 7.1
30.91.3
30.231.4
Auto7.3
Teleop16.7
End6.9
Third
698
#23
20.70.5
21.522.0
Auto6.5
Teleop11.4
End2.9
red by 0.6
1828
#36
20.11.3
17.018.3
Auto6.4
Teleop11.0
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
60%Breach oddsMissed81%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed