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Red70
498523.9
561324.1
415327.1
Blue40
264723.9
301918.4
438821.8
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions585702040801007040

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4153
#16
27.11.0
19.920.9
Auto8.1
Teleop14.4
End4.6
red by 3.2
2647
#43
23.92.8
17.114.3
Auto8.4
Teleop12.0
End3.4
Second
5613
#30
24.11.0
19.520.5
Auto7.8
Teleop12.5
End3.9
red by 2.3
4388
#34
21.82.8
18.916.0
Auto9.2
Teleop9.8
End2.9
Third
4985
#37
23.91.0
16.817.8
Auto6.3
Teleop12.8
End4.8
red by 5.4
3019
#47
18.42.8
19.316.5
Auto4.0
Teleop12.0
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
42%Breach oddsMissed41%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed