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Red76
84632.1
347018.4
357717.3
Blue93
325624.1
248637.0
99117.3
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions67743040506080901001107693

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
846
#26
32.10.1
31.131.1
Auto10.1
Teleop16.5
End5.5
blue by 4.9
2486
#11
37.01.1
36.437.6
Auto10.4
Teleop20.4
End6.1
Second
3470
#38
18.40.1
16.316.3
Auto5.3
Teleop10.6
End2.4
blue by 5.7
3256
#42
24.11.8
20.522.3
Auto5.0
Teleop14.4
End4.7
Third
3577
#41
17.30.1
19.219.2
Auto4.2
Teleop10.8
End2.3
Level
991
#46
17.31.8
13.815.6
Auto4.5
Teleop10.8
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
61%Breach oddsEarned71%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed