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Red100
577114.9
212238.3
418334.5
Blue101
19223.3
49830.5
240325.5
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9469406080100120140100101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.30.3
38.137.8
Auto12.6
Teleop19.3
End6.4
red by 7.8
498
#14
30.52.2
27.830.0
Auto11.1
Teleop13.1
End6.3
Second
34.50.3
34.834.5
Auto11.5
Teleop17.7
End5.3
red by 9.1
2403
#15
25.52.2
23.225.4
Auto9.3
Teleop12.6
End3.6
Third
5771
#51
14.90.3
15.114.9
Auto4.7
Teleop8.7
End1.4
blue by 8.4
192
#20
23.32.2
20.122.3
Auto5.7
Teleop14.2
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
88%Breach oddsEarned69%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
2%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed