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Quarterfinal 4-22016 Arizona West Regional
Red75
96828.8
249330.9
264724.1
Blue122
247825.4
240331.2
244927.1
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1099305015020075122

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2493
#4
30.90.2
31.1→30.9
Auto10.0
Teleop15.2
End5.8
blue by 0.3
2403
#9
31.20.5
30.5→30.9
Auto8.4
Teleop17.5
End5.3
Second
968
#7
28.80.2
29.0→28.8
Auto7.5
Teleop16.5
End4.9
red by 1.7
2449
#21
27.10.5
26.3→26.8
Auto6.1
Teleop15.3
End5.7
Third
2647
#14
24.10.2
24.3→24.1
Auto9.2
Teleop11.0
End4.0
blue by 1.3
2478
#16
25.40.5
24.7→25.1
Auto8.0
Teleop11.7
End5.7