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Red60
401822.9
416019.8
121225.6
Blue77
411114.6
418338.4
313327.7
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4775020601001201401606077

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1212
#23
25.61.2
17.919.1
Auto6.2
Teleop15.0
End4.4
blue by 12.7
38.40.6
33.434.0
Auto12.2
Teleop21.2
End5.0
Second
4018
#25
22.91.2
18.219.3
Auto6.5
Teleop12.2
End4.1
blue by 4.8
3133
#31
27.70.9
20.421.3
Auto8.9
Teleop13.3
End5.5
Third
4160
#37
19.80.9
13.414.3
Auto6.9
Teleop9.5
End3.3
red by 5.2
4111
#29
14.60.9
15.116.0
Auto5.4
Teleop7.5
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
53%Breach oddsMissed82%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed