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Red67
484119.7
313327.7
332127.9
Blue50
284417.3
547523.2
240331.2
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5453102030406070806750

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.91.3
14.615.8
Auto7.5
Teleop17.0
End3.5
blue by 3.3
31.20.5
27.126.6
Auto8.4
Teleop17.5
End5.3
Second
3133
#31
27.71.3
21.823.1
Auto8.9
Teleop13.3
End5.5
red by 4.5
5475
#12
23.20.8
19.418.6
Auto4.2
Teleop14.8
End4.2
Third
4841
#19
19.70.8
14.315.1
Auto4.3
Teleop11.6
End3.8
red by 2.4
2844
#34DQ
17.30.8
6.05.2
Auto3.9
Teleop9.7
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
40%Breach oddsMissed51%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed