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Red49
240331.2
244927.1
505922.9
Blue89
266223.4
96828.8
49836.2
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions587102040801001201401604989

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.20.8
25.524.7
Auto8.4
Teleop17.5
End5.3
blue by 5.0
498
#11
36.21.7
30.532.2
Auto9.8
Teleop21.8
End4.6
Second
2449
#21
27.11.1
15.914.8
Auto6.1
Teleop15.3
End5.7
blue by 1.7
968
#7
28.82.0
19.921.9
Auto7.5
Teleop16.5
End4.9
Third
5059
#38
22.91.1
17.216.2
Auto3.9
Teleop14.2
End4.8
blue by 0.5
2662
#13
23.42.3
17.619.9
Auto8.2
Teleop11.0
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
42%Breach oddsMissed72%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed