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Qual 472016 Arizona West Regional
Red90
246842.8
484119.7
266223.4
Blue87
237521.9
313327.7
394436.5
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9374501509087

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2468
#2
42.80.2
45.3→45.5
Auto10.8
Teleop28.9
End3.2
red by 6.3
3944
#15
36.51.3
29.8→31.1
Auto9.1
Teleop20.9
End6.6
Second
2662
#13
23.40.3
22.5→22.8
Auto8.2
Teleop11.0
End4.1
blue by 4.3
3133
#31
27.71.3
24.6→26.0
Auto8.9
Teleop13.3
End5.5
Third
4841
#19
19.70.2
19.5→19.7
Auto4.3
Teleop11.6
End3.8
blue by 2.1
2375
#26
21.90.8
20.7→21.5
Auto9.1
Teleop10.1
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
75%Breach oddsEarned74%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
4%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed