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Red71
547523.2
121225.6
247825.4
Blue93
244927.1
385324.3
301925.7
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions696940506080901007193

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1212
#23
25.60.5
21.622.1
Auto6.2
Teleop15.0
End4.4
blue by 1.4
2449
#21
27.12.1
23.125.2
Auto6.1
Teleop15.3
End5.7
Second
2478
#16
25.40.3
22.222.5
Auto8.0
Teleop11.7
End5.7
blue by 0.2
3019
#22
25.71.4
21.823.2
Auto8.4
Teleop11.1
End6.2
Third
5475
#12
23.20.5
22.422.9
Auto4.2
Teleop14.8
End4.2
blue by 1.0
3853
#18
24.32.1
22.524.6
Auto7.4
Teleop11.8
End5.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
56%Breach oddsEarned56%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed