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Red63
449615.4
510117.0
414627.9
Blue137
246842.8
240331.2
98759.6
0%Model gave it100%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3615905010020025063137

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4146
#33
27.90.7
24.925.6
Auto8.8
Teleop11.6
End7.5
blue by 31.7
987
#1
59.60.3
61.561.2
Auto16.4
Teleop35.6
End7.6
Second
5101
#30
17.01.0
15.516.5
Auto3.3
Teleop10.4
End3.3
blue by 25.8
42.80.3
46.546.3
Auto10.8
Teleop28.9
End3.2
Third
4496
#35
15.41.0
12.313.3
Auto1.8
Teleop10.0
End3.5
blue by 15.8
31.20.3
27.927.7
Auto8.4
Teleop17.5
End5.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
56%Breach oddsMissed98%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed36%Capture oddsEarned