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Red100
284417.3
318725.6
119737.0
Blue88
301925.7
266223.4
116528.3
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions70742040608010012010088

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.01.4
30.531.9
Auto10.3
Teleop22.6
End4.0
red by 8.6
1165
#24
28.30.8
26.627.4
Auto8.8
Teleop13.5
End6.0
Second
3187
#28
25.61.4
24.425.8
Auto6.5
Teleop15.2
End3.9
Level
3019
#22
25.70.8
23.224.0
Auto8.4
Teleop11.1
End6.2
Third
2844
#34
17.32.1
13.415.5
Auto3.9
Teleop9.7
End3.7
blue by 6.1
2662
#13
23.41.1
21.422.5
Auto8.2
Teleop11.0
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
61%Breach oddsEarned68%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed