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Red70
313327.7
318725.6
301925.7
Blue74
332127.9
505922.9
172624.6
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions82692040601001201407074

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3133
#31
27.70.7
27.526.9
Auto8.9
Teleop13.3
End5.5
blue by 0.3
27.90.5
23.123.5
Auto7.5
Teleop17.0
End3.5
Second
3019
#22
25.70.5
24.023.5
Auto8.4
Teleop11.1
End6.2
red by 1.0
1726
#17
24.60.4
23.924.3
Auto7.6
Teleop12.9
End4.0
Third
3187
#28
25.60.5
25.825.3
Auto6.5
Teleop15.2
End3.9
red by 2.7
5059
#38
22.90.5
21.722.2
Auto3.9
Teleop14.2
End4.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
74%Breach oddsMissed63%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed