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Red57
411114.6
172624.6
121225.6
Blue110
394436.5
246842.8
546525.1
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4996015057110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1212
#23
25.60.3
17.717.9
Auto6.2
Teleop15.0
End4.4
blue by 17.2
42.81.2
44.745.9
Auto10.8
Teleop28.9
End3.2
Second
1726
#17
24.60.2
22.022.3
Auto7.6
Teleop12.9
End4.0
blue by 11.9
3944
#15
36.52.0
22.024.1
Auto9.1
Teleop20.9
End6.6
Third
4111
#29
14.60.3
14.815.1
Auto5.4
Teleop7.5
End1.7
blue by 10.5
5465
#20
25.12.0
19.922.0
Auto4.8
Teleop15.2
End5.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
31%Breach oddsEarned81%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed2%Capture oddsMissed