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Red138
116528.3
385324.3
98759.6
Blue82
418338.4
553916.3
304815.2
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions125665010015013882

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
987
#1
59.60.3
61.261.6
Auto16.4
Teleop35.6
End7.6
red by 21.3
38.40.7
39.638.9
Auto12.2
Teleop21.2
End5.0
Second
1165
#24
28.30.3
27.427.7
Auto8.8
Teleop13.5
End6.0
red by 12.0
5539
#39
16.30.9
18.517.6
Auto0.9
Teleop13.1
End2.2
Third
3853
#18
24.30.4
24.424.8
Auto7.4
Teleop11.8
End5.1
red by 9.0
3048
#41
15.20.9
14.313.4
Auto4.6
Teleop8.4
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
90%Breach oddsEarned71%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
12%Capture oddsEarned1%Capture oddsMissed