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Red90
237521.9
240331.2
449615.4
Blue70
304815.2
244927.1
411114.6
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions66530204060801001209070

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.21.5
28.329.8
Auto8.4
Teleop17.5
End5.3
red by 4.1
2449
#21
27.11.3
25.927.2
Auto6.1
Teleop15.3
End5.7
Second
2375
#26
21.91.5
20.922.4
Auto9.1
Teleop10.1
End2.6
red by 6.6
3048
#41
15.21.3
13.414.7
Auto4.6
Teleop8.4
End2.3
Third
4496
#35
15.41.8
13.415.2
Auto1.8
Teleop10.0
End3.5
red by 0.8
4111
#29
14.61.4
14.515.9
Auto5.4
Teleop7.5
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
59%Breach oddsEarned42%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed