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Final 12016 BattleCry 17
Red237
279137.6
19568.9
50125.5
Blue225
331447.7
16649.6
395820.8
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16614350100200250300237225

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
195
Unranked
68.90.0
68.9→68.9
Auto20.3
Teleop37.8
End10.8
red by 19.3
166
Unranked
49.60.0
49.6→49.6
Auto17.3
Teleop27.5
End4.8
Second
2791
Unranked
37.60.0
37.6→37.6
Auto10.4
Teleop23.6
End3.6
blue by 10.0
3314
Unranked
47.70.0
47.7→47.7
Auto12.2
Teleop27.6
End7.9
Third
501
Unranked
25.50.0
25.5→25.5
Auto10.4
Teleop10.7
End4.4
red by 4.7
3958
Unranked
20.80.0
20.8→20.8
Auto5.3
Teleop11.6
End3.8