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Qual 142016 BattleCry 17
Red100
23841.0
409722.8
279137.6
Blue135
208428.6
105845.4
31942.1
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions101122050150200100135

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
238
Unranked
41.00.0
41.0→41.0
Auto14.4
Teleop21.0
End5.6
blue by 4.4
1058
Unranked
45.40.0
45.4→45.4
Auto8.8
Teleop26.0
End10.6
Second
2791
Unranked
37.60.0
37.6→37.6
Auto10.4
Teleop23.6
End3.6
blue by 4.5
319
Unranked
42.10.0
42.1→42.1
Auto11.8
Teleop23.8
End6.6
Third
4097
Unranked
22.80.0
22.8→22.8
Auto6.2
Teleop13.8
End2.8
blue by 5.8
2084
Unranked
28.60.0
28.6→28.6
Auto10.8
Teleop15.6
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
96%Breach odds99%Breach odds
Capture
29%Capture odds77%Capture odds