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Qual 162016 BattleCry 17
Red133
16649.6
271327.3
371926.1
Blue77
417632.2
455730.4
17238.6
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions106104608012014016018013377

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
166
Unranked
49.60.0
49.6→49.6
Auto17.3
Teleop27.5
End4.8
red by 10.9
172
Unranked
38.60.0
38.6→38.6
Auto8.1
Teleop24.8
End5.7
Second
2713
Unranked
27.30.0
27.3→27.3
Auto9.5
Teleop15.1
End2.8
blue by 4.9
4176
Unranked
32.20.0
32.2→32.2
Auto10.8
Teleop16.6
End4.8
Third
3719
Unranked
26.10.0
26.1→26.1
Auto10.5
Teleop11.9
End3.7
blue by 4.3
4557
Unranked
30.40.0
30.4→30.4
Auto9.1
Teleop15.5
End5.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
81%Breach odds94%Breach odds
Capture
11%Capture odds25%Capture odds