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Red127
264839.2
279137.6
331447.7
Blue79
107320.2
371926.1
110031.1
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions138705010015020012779

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3314
Unranked
47.70.0
47.747.7
Auto12.2
Teleop27.6
End7.9
red by 16.6
1100
Unranked
31.10.0
31.131.1
Auto6.9
Teleop19.9
End4.3
Second
2648
Unranked
39.20.0
39.239.2
Auto10.0
Teleop25.4
End3.8
red by 13.1
3719
Unranked
26.10.0
26.126.1
Auto10.5
Teleop11.9
End3.7
Third
2791
Unranked
37.60.0
37.637.6
Auto10.4
Teleop23.6
End3.6
red by 17.5
1073
Unranked
20.20.0
20.220.2
Auto5.7
Teleop11.1
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
95%Breach odds89%Breach odds
Capture
51%Capture odds3%Capture odds