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Qual 322016 BattleCry 17
Red105
24636.6
234221.4
23735.2
Blue116
287631.5
208428.6
17543.7
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions95108050150200250105116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
246
Unranked
36.60.0
36.6→36.6
Auto12.6
Teleop20.2
End3.8
blue by 7.0
175
Unranked
43.70.0
43.7→43.7
Auto9.5
Teleop24.5
End9.7
Second
237
Unranked
35.20.0
35.2→35.2
Auto9.1
Teleop16.2
End9.8
red by 3.7
2876
Unranked
31.50.0
31.5→31.5
Auto9.6
Teleop17.4
End4.5
Third
2342
Unranked
21.40.0
21.4→21.4
Auto4.5
Teleop13.8
End3.1
blue by 7.1
2084
Unranked
28.60.0
28.6→28.6
Auto10.8
Teleop15.6
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
85%Breach odds97%Breach odds
Capture
12%Capture odds17%Capture odds