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Red97
23841.0
12127.6
173531.6
Blue141
13137.9
216844.0
17331.3
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1001185015020097141

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
238
Unranked
41.00.0
41.041.0
Auto14.4
Teleop21.0
End5.6
blue by 3.1
2168
Unranked
44.00.0
44.044.0
Auto14.0
Teleop23.7
End6.4
Second
1735
Unranked
31.60.0
31.631.6
Auto12.7
Teleop13.6
End5.3
blue by 6.3
131
Unranked
37.90.0
37.937.9
Auto10.9
Teleop19.7
End7.3
Third
121
Unranked
27.60.0
27.627.6
Auto7.2
Teleop18.0
End2.4
blue by 3.7
173
Unranked
31.30.0
31.331.3
Auto9.5
Teleop17.3
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
96%Breach odds99%Breach odds
Capture
23%Capture odds7%Capture odds