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Qual 482016 BattleCry 17
Red84
13829.7
24636.6
226228.4
Blue137
395820.8
112446.9
264839.2
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9411205015020084137

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
246
Unranked
36.60.0
36.6→36.6
Auto12.6
Teleop20.2
End3.8
blue by 10.2
1124
Unranked
46.90.0
46.9→46.9
Auto9.8
Teleop26.4
End10.6
Second
138
Unranked
29.70.0
29.7→29.7
Auto9.1
Teleop13.4
End7.3
blue by 9.5
2648
Unranked
39.20.0
39.2→39.2
Auto10.0
Teleop25.4
End3.8
Third
2262
Unranked
28.40.0
28.4→28.4
Auto8.6
Teleop15.5
End4.2
red by 7.6
3958
Unranked
20.80.0
20.8→20.8
Auto5.3
Teleop11.6
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
87%Breach odds82%Breach odds
Capture
6%Capture odds15%Capture odds