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Red160
287631.5
287737.1
581346.0
Blue106
371926.1
17645.5
105845.4
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1171216080100140160180160106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5813
Unranked
46.00.0
46.046.0
Auto9.3
Teleop31.8
End4.9
red by 0.5
176
Unranked
45.50.0
45.545.5
Auto7.8
Teleop28.1
End9.6
Second
2877
Unranked
37.10.0
37.137.1
Auto18.1
Teleop16.3
End2.8
blue by 8.2
1058
Unranked
45.40.0
45.445.4
Auto8.8
Teleop26.0
End10.6
Third
2876
Unranked
31.50.0
31.531.5
Auto9.6
Teleop17.4
End4.5
red by 5.4
3719
Unranked
26.10.0
26.126.1
Auto10.5
Teleop11.9
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
96%Breach odds95%Breach odds
Capture
33%Capture odds31%Capture odds