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Red120
404842.1
287737.1
415118.5
Blue98
83933.7
271327.3
24636.6
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions100100809011012013012098

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4048
Unranked
42.10.0
42.142.1
Auto7.9
Teleop27.3
End6.8
red by 5.4
246
Unranked
36.60.0
36.636.6
Auto12.6
Teleop20.2
End3.8
Second
2877
Unranked
37.10.0
37.137.1
Auto18.1
Teleop16.3
End2.8
red by 3.4
839
Unranked
33.70.0
33.733.7
Auto8.1
Teleop20.0
End5.6
Third
4151
Unranked
18.50.0
18.518.5
Auto2.9
Teleop13.5
End2.1
blue by 8.8
2713
Unranked
27.30.0
27.327.3
Auto9.5
Teleop15.1
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
77%Breach odds93%Breach odds
Capture
11%Capture odds76%Capture odds