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Quarterfinal 4-22016 Battle at the Border
Red124
248532.7
3021B23.1
448630.3
Blue153
312827.2
298426.8
81230.3
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1059720406080120140160180124153

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2485
#13
32.70.4
32.2→32.6
Auto8.9
Teleop20.1
End3.7
red by 2.4
812
#15
30.30.6
29.5→30.0
Auto8.4
Teleop17.7
End4.2
Second
4486
#27
30.30.4
29.8→30.2
Auto8.3
Teleop17.4
End4.6
red by 3.1
3128
#18
27.20.6
26.4→26.9
Auto9.7
Teleop13.5
End4.0
Third
3021B
#4
23.10.6
22.4→23.0
Auto9.3
Teleop12.6
End1.2
blue by 3.7
2984
#8
26.80.6
26.0→26.6
Auto8.4
Teleop15.9
End2.5