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Red52
364724.2
210224.4
Blue68
325542.6
3021B23.1
519940.2
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions661000501502002503005268

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2102
#21
24.41.1
29.528.3
Auto6.1
Teleop14.5
End3.8
blue by 18.2
42.61.6
40.238.6
Auto9.3
Teleop28.8
End4.5
Second
3647
#19
24.21.5
24.823.3
Auto7.4
Teleop12.1
End4.7
blue by 16.0
40.21.6
36.634.9
Auto13.5
Teleop15.2
End11.4
Third
5.77.2
5.712.9
Auto-0.4
Teleop6.6
End-0.6
blue by 17.5
23.110.3
23.112.8
Auto9.3
Teleop12.6
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
79%Breach oddsMissed89%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
2%Capture oddsMissed11%Capture oddsMissed