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Qual 102016 Battle at the Border
Red90
428.5
96836.2
39937.7
Blue81
81230.3
501236.2
448630.3
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions112870501001502009081

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
399
#1
37.71.0
33.1→32.1
Auto8.3
Teleop24.2
End5.1
red by 1.5
5012
#6
36.20.5
29.5→29.0
Auto5.2
Teleop26.9
End4.0
Second
968
#9
36.21.0
39.9→38.9
Auto10.4
Teleop21.3
End4.5
red by 5.9
812
#15
30.30.5
29.2→28.7
Auto8.4
Teleop17.7
End4.2
Third
4
#11
28.51.0
32.1→31.1
Auto9.2
Teleop13.7
End5.6
blue by 1.8
4486
#27
30.30.5
29.6→29.1
Auto8.3
Teleop17.4
End4.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
89%Breach oddsMissed76%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
10%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed