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Red5
448630.3
265811.8
Blue100
96836.2
4B27.5
325542.6
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4710301505100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4486
#27
30.33.2
29.125.8
Auto8.3
Teleop17.4
End4.6
blue by 12.3
42.60.5
39.239.7
Auto9.3
Teleop28.8
End4.5
Second
2658
#30
11.83.6
16.212.6
Auto-0.3
Teleop12.2
End-0.1
blue by 24.4
968
#9
36.20.5
38.939.4
Auto10.4
Teleop21.3
End4.5
Third
5.75.4
8.32.9
Auto-0.4
Teleop6.6
End-0.6
blue by 21.9
4B
#26
27.50.9
14.315.1
Auto7.4
Teleop13.8
End6.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
77%Breach oddsMissed84%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed17%Capture oddsMissed