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Red107
312827.2
153836.2
302132.1
Blue98
501236.2
325542.6
606026.2
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions999605015020010798

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1538
#29
36.20.4
42.442.8
Auto6.3
Teleop24.3
End5.7
blue by 6.4
42.60.1
39.739.6
Auto9.3
Teleop28.8
End4.5
Second
3021
#14
32.10.4
26.426.8
Auto8.6
Teleop19.4
End4.1
blue by 4.0
36.20.1
29.329.2
Auto5.2
Teleop26.9
End4.0
Third
3128
#18
27.20.4
27.027.4
Auto9.7
Teleop13.5
End4.0
red by 1.0
6060
#12
26.20.1
25.125.0
Auto7.6
Teleop15.0
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
81%Breach oddsEarned90%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
7%Capture oddsMissed4%Capture oddsEarned