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Qual 192016 Battle at the Border
Red104
39937.7
519940.2
126622.0
Blue83
298426.8
81230.3
396526.0
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1027105015020010483

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5199
#2
40.20.6
36.7→37.3
Auto13.5
Teleop15.2
End11.4
red by 9.8
812
#15
30.30.6
28.3→29.0
Auto8.4
Teleop17.7
End4.2
Second
399
#1
37.70.6
33.3→33.9
Auto8.3
Teleop24.2
End5.1
red by 10.8
2984
#8
26.80.6
21.2→21.8
Auto8.4
Teleop15.9
End2.5
Third
1266
#20
22.00.6
24.9→25.5
Auto5.7
Teleop11.9
End4.3
blue by 3.9
3965
#10
26.00.6
24.0→24.7
Auto7.5
Teleop15.1
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
81%Breach oddsEarned62%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
5%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed