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Red81
364724.2
298426.8
325542.6
Blue64
162216.5
580521.9
501236.2
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions946602040801201401608164

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.60.4
39.639.2
Auto9.3
Teleop28.8
End4.5
red by 6.5
36.20.3
29.229.0
Auto5.2
Teleop26.9
End4.0
Second
26.80.4
21.821.4
Auto8.4
Teleop15.9
End2.5
red by 5.0
5805
#28
21.90.3
22.622.3
Auto5.2
Teleop13.2
End3.5
Third
3647
#19
24.20.4
25.625.2
Auto7.4
Teleop12.1
End4.7
red by 7.7
1622
#16
16.50.3
16.115.8
Auto6.2
Teleop9.0
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
78%Breach oddsEarned60%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
2%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed