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Red69
399B18.0
4B27.5
396526.0
Blue75
401417.8
248532.7
81230.3
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions578601001502006975

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4B
#26
27.51.0
16.717.7
Auto7.4
Teleop13.8
End6.3
blue by 5.2
2485
#13
32.70.3
35.335.0
Auto8.9
Teleop20.1
End3.7
Second
3965
#10
26.00.6
24.725.3
Auto7.5
Teleop15.1
End3.5
blue by 4.3
812
#15
30.30.3
29.028.7
Auto8.4
Teleop17.7
End4.2
Third
399B
#17
18.01.0
18.519.5
Auto4.5
Teleop11.1
End2.4
red by 0.2
4014
#22
17.80.3
14.914.6
Auto3.1
Teleop11.7
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
53%Breach oddsEarned58%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
4%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed