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Red71
401417.8
254325.4
448630.3
Blue82
39937.7
153836.2
162216.5
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions841030501502007182

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4486
#27
30.30.9
30.429.6
Auto8.3
Teleop17.4
End4.6
blue by 7.4
399
#1
37.71.0
34.133.1
Auto8.3
Teleop24.2
End5.1
Second
2543
#23
25.40.9
29.728.8
Auto4.4
Teleop18.0
End3.1
blue by 10.8
1538
#29
36.21.0
45.344.3
Auto6.3
Teleop24.3
End5.7
Third
4014
#22
17.81.2
23.822.7
Auto3.1
Teleop11.7
End3.0
red by 1.3
1622
#16
16.51.0
17.916.9
Auto6.2
Teleop9.0
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
94%Breach oddsMissed57%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed2%Capture oddsMissed