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Quarterfinal 3-12016 Beach Blitz
Red177
347650.1
512441.5
432225.7
Blue108
427633.8
476330.0
932218.3
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16595050150200250177108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3476
#20
50.10.2
51.4→51.6
Auto13.2
Teleop30.5
End6.4
red by 16.3
4276
#14
33.80.1
33.8→33.9
Auto9.6
Teleop19.8
End4.4
Second
5124
#3
41.50.2
42.8→43.0
Auto11.3
Teleop25.3
End4.8
red by 11.4
4763
#8
30.00.1
30.0→30.2
Auto9.9
Teleop15.9
End4.2
Third
4322
#23
25.70.2
27.0→27.3
Auto6.7
Teleop14.4
End4.6
red by 7.4
9322
#17
18.30.1
18.3→18.4
Auto5.1
Teleop11.8
End1.4