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Qual 182016 Beach Blitz
Red149
33066.3
450124.7
580245.6
Blue119
969627.0
249329.7
96840.6
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13577050100150200149119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
330
#2
66.31.4
65.3→66.7
Auto14.8
Teleop43.2
End8.4
red by 25.8
968
#11
40.61.7
36.3→38.0
Auto10.2
Teleop24.6
End5.8
Second
5802
#18
45.61.4
35.0→36.3
Auto14.4
Teleop27.5
End3.8
red by 16.0
2493
#25
29.71.7
32.6→34.3
Auto7.1
Teleop17.5
End5.1
Third
4501
#24
24.71.4
23.0→24.4
Auto5.0
Teleop16.3
End3.4
blue by 2.3
9696
#15
27.02.9
14.3→17.2
Auto6.0
Teleop18.7
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
88%Breach oddsEarned72%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
21%Capture oddsMissed2%Capture oddsMissed